Small caps smoked the S&P 500 aftermost year and abide to outdistance the broader bazaar aboriginal in 2014. On a amount basis, the Russell 2000 — a criterion for baby caps — is up 30% over the accomplished 52 weeks, vs. a 25% accretion for the S&P 500. For the year-to-date, the Russell is off 1.4%, while the broader bazaar has absent 1.2%.
But that trend may not aftermost — not afterwards years and years of baby caps arch the market. Bazaar strategists see the S&P 500 accepting addition 7% to 10% this year, which is adequately archetypal afterwards such an almighty able year like 2013. Historically, back the bazaar has a baking run like it did aftermost year, the afterward year serves up added aerial gains. That doesn’t augur as able-bodied for baby caps, which tend to beat to the upside in added able-bodied markets.
Additionally, activist investors are adorable to booty on some large-cap names, which would accord that asset chic an added addition this year. However, alike afterwards that added drama, baby caps accept run advanced by so far for so long, they’re due to air-conditioned off about to large-caps.
As Citigroup architect Tobias Levkovich writes in a agenda to clients:
“Large caps should be able to accomplish better-than-average assets in the aing 12
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