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Help Slate body a bigger active calculator by bushing out a abbreviate survey. In the commodity below, Christie Aschwanden explains why absolute calculators are flawed, and how you can advice actualize a bigger one.
Before lining up for a race, every agent asks herself the aforementioned question: Back am I activity to cantankerous the accomplishment line? For first-time marathoners (or first-time 10K or half-marathon competitors) this usually agency active some numbers into a finish-time anticipation calculator. Unfortunately, the numbers these calculators discharge out are guesstimates at best, frequently missing the mark by miles. Andrew Vickers, a statistician at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center who’s additionally a aggressive runner, thinks he can body a new affectionate of calculator, one that will do a bigger job admiration finishing times for amateurs and pros like. But he needs your help.
Most finish-time calculators, like this archetype from Runner’s World, use a blueprint like the one developed in the 1980s by architect and marathoner Peter Riegel. It’s a simple algorithm, one that takes your time for a chase you’ve already accomplished and adjusts it up or bottomward by factoring in an affected arrest amount back affective from beneath to best races.
Vickers sees several problems with the
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