The U.S. barter war with China and China’s alarming debt problems are able-bodied accepted by best investors. Advancing U.S. sanctions on Iran and Iran’s centralized bread-and-er problems are additionally able-bodied understood.
What is not accepted is how these two mutual confrontations are carefully affiliated in a three-way coil that could bandy the all-around abridgement into complete agitation and possibly amplify into war. Untangling and compassionate these admission is one of the best important tasks for investors today.
Let’s activate with the China debt bomb. As is credible from the blueprint below, China has the better aggregate of dollar-denominated debt advancing due in the aing 15 months.
The blueprint shows China with about $100 billion of alien dollar-denominated liabilities crumbling afore the end of 2019. But this debt coffer is aloof the tip of the iceberg. This blueprint does not accommodate amounts owed by banking institutions nor does it accommodate intercompany payables and receivables. China’s absolute dollar debt accountability is over $200 billion and building over added emerging-market abridgement debt burdens.
This coffer of crumbling debt adeptness not amount if China had accessible admission to new accounts with which to pay the debt and if its abridgement were growing at a advantageous clip. Neither action is true.
China has entered
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